Evolution of the Exchange Rate Pass-Throught into Prices in Peru: An Empirical Application Using TVP-VAR-SV Models
نویسندگان
چکیده
Utilizamos un conjunto de modelos VAR con parámetros variables en el tiempo y volatilidad estocástica (TVP-VAR-SV) para estimar la evolución del efecto traspaso tipo cambio (ERPT) a precios Perú periodo 1995Q2-2019Q4. Según dos criterios selección Bayesiana, los que mejor se ajustan datos permiten mayoría las varianzas evolucionen tiempo. Los resultados dividen partes: (i) ERPTs importación producción disminuyen significativamente desde final década 1990 hasta 2008. Sin embargo, 2014, ambos resurgen considerablemente debido depreciación asociada flexibilización cuantitativa (QE), caída materias primas eventos políticos globales. Estos hallazgos están línea literatura reciente utilizando TVP-VAR-SV enfatizan resurgimiento ERTP después crisis financiera mundial (GFC); (ii) ERPT consumidor ha declinado constantemente lo largo muestra. Esto está existente explica por contexto baja inflación bajo régimen metas explícitas (IT) fuerte credibilidad Banco Central. Finalmente, son robustos ejercicios sensibilidad, incluyendo cambios asociadas choques externos actividad económica doméstica, así como valores priors; una estimación Colombia.
منابع مشابه
Exchange Rate Pass-Through into China’s Import Prices: An Empirical Analysis Based on ARDL Model
This study analyzes the exchange rate pass-through into China aggregate import prices and prices of eleven industries under the HS classification. Chinese monthly data from July 2005 to July 2015 are used. Bounds test finds that all industries have co-integration relationship, with the exception of footwear and headgear products (HS12) and transport equipment (HS17). We have researched the shor...
متن کاملAn Empirical Analysis of Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Iran's Saffron Export Price
Exchange rate pass-through to the price of traded goods is one of the important issues in economy of developing countries such as Iran and affects the efficiency of the exchange rate policies to improve the trade balance. The main aim of this paper is to empirically analyze exchange rate pass-through to Iran's saffron export price using panel data for twenty destination markets during 2000–2011...
متن کاملThe Effect of Uncertainty of Macroeconomic Indicators on Tehran Stock Exchange Return With an Approach of the TVP-SV Model
One of the most important duties of financial economy is modeling and forecasting the volatilities of price of risky assets. From analysts and policy makers’ view, price volatility is a key variable contributing to perception of market volatilities. Therefore, analysts need to have an appropriate of forecast of price volatility as a necessary input to perform duties such as risk management, por...
متن کاملThe Determinants of Exchange Rate System: an Empirical Analysis
Since the breakdown of the Bretton Woods System, exchange arrangements of countries have become flexible. Several attempts have been made to determine whether the theories of optimum currency areas adequately explain the choice of an exchange rate system. In this paper, the optimum currency area is retested. Using cross-section data, a regression analysis of the choice of an exchange rate syste...
متن کاملEstimating Exchange Rate Pass-Through on Producer Prices in Main Sectors of Iranian Economy
Exchange rate changes could impact on prices. Whether exchange rate pass through to prices is complete or incomplete is an interesting question in analyzing impacts of exchange rate policy. An important aspect of exchange rate pass through is in producer price index and in its sub-indices. Our aim is to analyze the effects of exchange rate changes on producer sub-indices. To do that we have use...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Documento de trabajo
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2079-8466', '2079-8474']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.18800/2079-8474.0510